28 September 2017
The Finance Minister’s desperate scramble for money appears to be continuing as Malaysia’s London buying spree of recent years has been thrown into crash reverse.
Following FELDA’s Kensington hotel sale it has now emerged that Malaysia’s monster savings fund Permodolan Nasional Berhad (PNB) is seeking buyers for two major properties in the city which it bought in 2014.
Those purchases were performed without doubt on the prodding of Najib and his UK business pals, in particular the Tory Trade Envoy, Lord Marland, who has said he regarded Malaysian inward investment into London as one of his signature achievements.
However, the benefits for the Malaysian public were always more questionable. After all, according to the financial press PNB was obliged to borrow a billion dollarsto fund those purchases, making them a risky investment where the rental income would be largely going on funding the borrowing costs:
So, what was the point? Clearly not much, it has been decided, since three years later the fund is unbuttoning the whole expensive deal.
Properties To Join London Availability Glut
If 2014 was arguably a terrible time to invest in London, in the upper reaches of a price bubble inevitably about to burst, right now in 2017 the timing seems terrible for sale. As the headlines on the story make plain, PNB’s massive office blocks at One Silk Street (rented by Linklaters) and 90 High Holborn will join about £10 billion pounds worth of similar property that has also come onto the market as London reaps the negative rewards of Brexit.
The profit or ‘yeild’ on the buildings looks set to be fairly miserable over the period, particularly given the huge costs of acquiring them and servicing the loans. The buildings have increased in potential value by only 4-5%, which is chicken feed compared to earlier gains on the London property market:
What people in Malaysia with savings in PNB will now be wondering, therefore, is why so much hurry to release this money at this unfortunate time? The Finance Minister cum Prime Minster cum controlling figure over all key appointments in Government Linked Companies (GLCs) has been identified in a recent study as the ultimate decision-maker over how publicly funded institutions like PNB are run. So, what is Najib’s motive?
With an election looking all the less likely this year, for example, one extremely large payment is now looming from that other Najib controlled entity, which is 1MDB.
The second $600 million tranche of its fine to Abu Dhabi’s IPIC is due at the end of December and 1MDB doesn’t have the cash. So, can we expect to see PNB’s money retrieved in London ploughed into, for example, inflated purchases of 1MDB former properties such as Bandar Malaysia and Air Itam, which could then be funnelled towards those payments?
After that, there are the upcoming expenses of a ‘Money Politics’ style election campaign, of the sort that Najib is the most extravagant practitioner of. People will expect to be bought off with one-off government hand outs, goodie bags and bribes for votes and larger sums will have to go to local strongmen. This is how BN ‘wins’ elections and Najib will be only too aware that this time around the hurdles are higher and therefore even more expensive than before.
He will either have to engage in a fair fight, like real democracies or raid the kitty, meaning Malaysia’s public funds, to get the money.
Voters need to understand how such election handouts are being achieved at the expense of the public funds that they and their children have been relying on to pay for their old age and to keep the Malaysian economy strong.
It is plain that Najib does not care about their future (or he would have resigned after being identified as MO1). He cares only his present win; he wants to shake off his scandals, wipe his slate clean and go after all his critics by using the excuse that the ‘people supported him’ in the election.
None of this is in the real interests of ordinary folk or the Malaysian economy. People need to think twice about accepting a small pay-off in return for surrendering their future security and comfort as funds like PNB are raided for such purposes.